Temps up into the 60′s at lake level today will help to really get the snowmelt going. It is going to feel like spring and even summer if you make it down to Reno where it will be in the 70′s. Don’t get used to it because after one more day tomorrow with similar temps we will have a return to colder temps with some snow over the weekend.
Winds will pick up tomorrow as the cold front begins to approach the West Coast. Much cold air will filter into the area on Saturday as the cold front moves through. High temps will only be in the 30′s this weekend on the mountains and 40′s at lake level. Snow will fall on the mountains above 7000 ft. on Saturday with lingering showers into Saturday night. Rain will fall at lake level.
Models are still a little inconsistent on precip amounts but it looks like around 2-4 inches above 7000 ft. where it is all snow with a little more possible on the crest. A dusting possible at lake level as the snow levels drop behind the cold front and the precip ends as snow. Depends on how much snow falls after the sun goes down.
Another ridge builds in on Monday but not as amplified as the ridge this week. Highs will rebound into the 40′s on the mountains and 50′s at lake level. This warmup will be short-lived as well as the ridge slides east and is replaced by another cold trough by Thursday. It looks as if this trough could last through next weekend with periods of snow showers and below average temps.
Looking long-range this flow looks to continue with another brief ridge moving in on Monday the 11th which is followd by another cold trough with snow possible around mid-month. This trough could be a little stronger and could possibly pull a subtropical tap. We’ll have to see if the MJO can actually get some convection going in the tropics this time that the jetstream can tap. With a much weaker La Nina than in January there is a much better chance. We could have one more period of stronger storms before we call it a season.
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