After about 72 hours of snowfall the skies have finally cleared today and the sun is shining. It will be crisp today and beautiful as the entire basin is covered in 1-3 feet of snow. I will get into the totals for the storm below. We have quiet and warming weather coming into the weekend and we should be into the 60′s at lake level by Sunday. This may be my last post until Monday as I will be heading to Redding for the weekend where it should be in the 80′s, what a contrast!
The Pacific NW is going to get the hose over the next couple of weeks with several inches of rain and several feet of snow in the high terrain. The forecast models continue to agree that the ridge keeping the storms just to our North through next Tuesday will weaken and retrograde slightly by next Wednesday allowing the next storm into the region. It still looks as if this will at least start as a high elevation snow event above 8,000 ft before snow levels fall towards the end of the storm on Thursday. I will be trying to dial in on the details over the next few days and will try to sneak in a post if there are any major changes.
The long-range outlook is for the storms to continue just our North and at times dip into Northern CA. No more really cold storms coming down the coast in the near future as we will have a constant zonal flow of storms across the North Pacific and into the NW US. We still have a negative PNA and the MJO is forecasted into phase 2 and 3. Going into November those phases favor cooler conditions (not cold like phase 1) and a continued stormy pattern for CA.
Let’s run through some of the storm totals, first with readers and then resorts. South Lake 6320′ – 12″, Prosser Heights 6150′ – 16″, Meyers – 21″, Tahoma 6400′ – 24″, West End of Donner Lake – 26″, Tahoe Donner 6617′ – 26″, Talmont 7000′ – 28″, and at the TWD weather station at 6750′ in TD we ended up with 37 inches after an additional 4 fell yesterday. A solid 2 feet on the ground this morning after the settling.
For the resorts: Mt. Rose – 20″, Diamond Peak – 24″, Heavenly – 24″, Northstar – 25″, Sierra At Tahoe – 30″, Kirkwood – 30″, Boreal – 31″, Squaw – 37″, Sugar Bowl – 42″, Alpine Meadows – 46″. Kirkwood was having a contest on their Facebook last weekend to guess the storm total by this morning. My guess was 34 inches, typical weatherman, blew another forecast.
On a final note Mark McLaughlin our favorite Tahoe Weather historian wrote a great article yesterday on October snowfalls and the Winters that follow. You can read it here.
Enjoy the beautiful weather and great October scenery….BA
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