Drier This Week, Not Really Warm Yet…
The resorts continued to pick up a few inches of snow the past 2 nights. This morning’s totals were the biggest of the past week with 5-9 inches being reported at the summits. Weekend totals were 6-12 inches with the resorts along the crest and South of the lake picking up the most.
4 resorts closed for good yesterday with the others closing at different time throughout the month of May. The weather pattern continues to favor shots of cold air this week but we should be much drier. Highs will be in the 30′s on the mountains today and tomorrow before warming into the 40′s & 50′s on Wednesday and Thursday.
Another storm is going to hit the Pacfic NW on Friday and that will bring us cooler temps for a day with highs back into the 30′s & 40′s before we go back into the 40′s & 50′s next weekend. It looks like we won’t really pick up any moisture on Friday so we should be dry for about a week after today.
The models are really struggling with the pattern next week. I think that next week is a transition week as we head towards a warmer and drier pattern in May. The Euro builds a ridge all next week with really warm temps by the end of the week. The GFS is back and forth with some model runs showing the ridge the end of next week after one last shot of cold from a storm to our North next Monday.
The ridge continues to sit out in the Central Pacific over the next two weeks which means the storm door remains open for the Pacific NW. I think that next week we could see a couple of shots of cooler air as storms hit to our North. If there is slight retrogression of the ridge in the Pacific as the GFS model suggests, we could have another shot of cold and some snow next week.
Confidence in the warmer pattern doesn’t really increase until the second week of May. Looking at the teleconnection forecasts they begin to favor a warmer drier pattern that week. We will just have to wait and see. BA
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