In the short range no changes from yesterday’s post.  No need to keep repeating the snowfall forecast.

System track for next Wednesday trending down the West coast off shore, so it may be a complete miss.

Models in disagreement for next weekend and week 2.  The European model continues to put the ridge out near 155w and the GFS closer near 135w.  Both allow shots of cold down from the North along with storms coming down.  The difference would be the track of the storms and how much moisture they could bring in.

The track of the GFS brings dry storms with chances for inside sliders and light snow.  The Euro brings in bigger storms President’s weekend with a few feet of snow.  It will be interesting to watch the battle over the next several days and to see which models were right.  I would watch the MJO and if it moves through phase 1 towards 2 I would think we have a better shot of seeing the snowier scenario.

Meanwhile we get several inches on Monday to get us back in Winter mode.  BA

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