Models this morning have the cut-off low pressure sliding down a bit further West through Nevada on Monday. Then it may stall for a couple of days along the CA/NV border. This means even colder air over Tahoe with the center of the low closer to us, and a better chance to see precip. If this pattern holds then we could see some snowfall Monday night into Tuesday, with snow levels dropping below 7000 ft. With the low to our East and the Northeast winds, the East side of the lake will be more favorable for snowfall. Mt. Rose may be white on Tuesday morning if the low tracks close enough. We will have to watch closely over the weekend. Highs will only be in the 40′s by Tuesday with this scenario.

Temps will rebound more slowly if the low hangs around next week but we will warm up significanltly by the following weekend. Looking long-range there is a storm in the window for the third week of October. This is about when the pattern should begin to change. BA

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