Just the Beginning?
The resorts picked up 10-20 inches from the storm yesterday. Reports around the lake and in Truckee are in the 8-12 inch range. That is on the higher side of the forecast as two strong waves came through, one in the morning and one in the evening. Most resorts are now pushing anywhere from 8-12 feet around Tahoe. Squaw is now boasting the biggest November in their recorded history.
Cold air today in the teens & 20′s will slowly warm into the 20′s & 30′s under sunny skies through Wednesday, could break into the 40′s at lake level. By Wednesday night a cold front will be slowly moving down the coast and precipitation will be moving towards the area.
The latest runs of the GFS model today want to tilt the jestream as a cut-off low dives down off the coast Thursday and Friday. This would aim the moisture to our North until the cut-off pushes onshore during the weekend. Models last night were in pretty good agreement that the cold front would push the jetstream into the area and give us a decent storm on Thursday and then bring more snow over the weekend as the cut-off pushes inland. This needs to be monitored all week as the potential exists to bring us snow measured in feet. If the storm takes on a tilt it could mean heavy precip falls to our North and we only end up with several inches of snow.
The pattern looks to stay progressive the following week as a deep low forms in the Pacific and moves towards the West Coast. We could get another decent cold storm around the 8th. Models should struggle a little bit with the pattern in December as we transition into true winter. The cold taking shots at the East Coast in December should reverse and start coming down the West Coast. Our storm door should be wide open by January. BA
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