I didn’t post an update yesterday because there have been no changes to the forecast for the next few days.  Snowfall will begin Thursday morning and last through Friday. The bigger news though will be temperatures in the 30′s with some wind and lows in the teens at night.  This kind of snow won’t be hard to shovel.

Looking at the latest model forecasts for total precip it still looks meager with 1/4-1/2 inch of total liquid over the next 2 days.  With 15:1 snow:liquid ratios in the Basin and 20:1 above 7000 ft we will have a nice blanket of snow.  Not much change in the snowfall forecast with 4-8 inches expected at lake level, 5-10 inches above 7000 ft and 10-15 inches along the Western crest.

Here is the GFS snowfall forecast through Saturday.

The sun returns for the weekend but the temperatures stay cool only rising into the 40′s by Sunday and Monday.  There won’t be much of a break before the next trough tries to push down the West Coast.  This time it looks like most of the precip will stay to our North as the trough either splits or shifts to our East.  It should bring us another shot of cold air though to keep the snow guns firing.

Still watching the setup of the pattern for the weekend of the 17th into Thanksgiving week for a potential stormy period.  The position of the ridges looks like they may be North of Hawaii and over Western Canada which would open the storm door for us.   The CFS does show an open storm door through the end of the month.  It’s still early so stay tuned on that…..BA

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