The upper level ridge is still sitting off the coast and we will continue to see dry and mild conditions into Tuesday. Meanwhile the ridge will begin retrograding Westward by tonight allowing the next storm to dive down the West Coast with lots of cold and some snow for Wednesday.
This storm is not going to be a huge snowfall producer and it will be light snow which won’t help to cover rocks down low. On the upper elevations where there is a lot of base from last weeks storms it will make for a nice powder day on Wednesday and Thursday. Total liquid looks a little bit higher today. We could see 2-4 inches Wednesday at lake level and another 3-5 inches Wednesday night. Above 7000 ft. we will have higher snow ratios so we could see 3-5 inches Wednesday and 4-8 Wednesday night. So up to a foot of powder possible by Thursday morning up top.
The next system for Friday looks to split and fall apart by the time it reaches CA. We could see some light scattered snow showers. Then for the weekend we have another cold storm hitting the West coast. The GFS has this one falling apart as well with just light snow showers but the European holds it together and digs it South down the Coast picking up lots of moisture before coming into CA. Both models have been consistent which makes the forecast tough. We should have better consensus in the next 2 days. If the Euro verifies we would get a nice 1-2 foot powder dump Sat-Sun.
Next week the cold and stormy pattern looks as if it will continue. Storms could continue to drop down from the Northwest out of the Gulf of Alaska. We could see a decent storm next Tue-Wed and another next Thu-Fri. This pattern looks like it could continue into Christmas. If the forecast holds there is no reason why we don’t see several feet of snow all the way to lake level between now and Christmas. Make sure you are staffed accordingly. BA