Monday Morning Musings:
The next 2 days will be busy for me as we are preparing for the services for my grandmother tomorrow here in NJ. No big changes to the forecast this morning from the last post below. I wanted to share a photo sent to me by the guys over at tahoemountainreport.com. This is a shot taken at 7500 ft. yesterday.
From Sunday Afternoon:
Resort Totals page is updated as of this morning’s reports. Resorts are reporting 8-16 inches in the past 24 hours at the summit. The resorts with the highest summits are reporting the highest amounts over at Mt. Rose and Kirkwood. Anywhere from 1-14 inches being reported at the bases depending on the base elevations. Reports of 1-4 inches from readers around the Basin.
Storm totals from resorts that reported both days are 15-24 inches. Forecast for the weekend above 7500 ft. was 18-27 so we fell a few inches short. The warmer nature of the storm lowered snow:water ratios a bit more than expected. Some of you may be disappointed at the amounts in your front yard, but we needed some base building snow on the mountains and we always welcome water. It would have been nice to get a little more snow on the lower half of the mountains. The resorts are already at 15% of their seasonal snowfall averages up top.
We will see some lingering snow showers on the mountains this morning before some clearing this afternoon. You can see the next wave diving into the Pacific NW and the precipitation will continue just to our North all week. We will see another shot of precip Tuesday night into Wednesday as one of the waves pushing into the Pacficic NW dips a bit further South. Snow levels will be high so maybe a few inches above 7000 ft. with up to 6 inches along the crest above 8000 ft.
Other than that the storm track stays to our North through next weekend. Here is the total precip forecast from the GFS forecast model and you can see the Pacific NW gets a lot of precip and how close it is to us.
For week 2 the models diverge. The Euro wants to bring a cold trough down into the West bringing mostly cold air as it dives down over land. The GFS keeps us mild with the storms continuing in the Pacfic NW. There is agreement that storms return by the end of week 2. Looking at the teleconnections and climate forecasts the stormy weather looks to continue into December. There are no signs of a long break in the action so the weather should stay interesting for a while.
Stay tuned for updates on the Wednesay system…BA
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