Update 5 PM:
Afternoon model runs have upped the liquid again with the storm tonight. We could see 3-6 inches above 7000 ft. with 6-9 inches along the crest. This should be our last decent accumulation before a lot of the resorts close for the season. You may want to get on it in the morning.
From This Morning:
Lots of clouds and wind today as another weak system moves through the area. We should have some showers along the crest with snow levels around 7000 ft. but not expecting really any accumulations today. We may see some sprinkles around the basin.
After midnight and into Thursday morning we should see some heavier precip ahead of the cold front, but not that heavy. Snow levels will drop to around lake level tonight. We could see a coating to a couple of inches at lake level by Thursday morning but once the sun comes up there shouldn’t be anymore accumulation. Above 7000 ft. we could see 2-4 inches with 3-6 inches along the crest.
We should clear out Thursday afternoon but not completely as we remain under a moist flow through the weekend. Expect clouds and sun through the weekend with the best chance of light precip along the crest. Snow levels will be fairly low even though temps will be mild at lake level. Expect a mix of rain and snow at lake level and some light snow above 7000 ft.
Temperatures will be cooler on Thursday with the cold front with highs in the 40′s at lake level and 30′s on the mountains. For the rest of the weekend the temps will be around 50 at 6000 ft., in the 40′s at 7000 ft. and the 30′s at 8000 ft. Overnight lows will be mild in the 30′s except for Thursday night which we will drop into the 20′s.
The system for Monday is now trending further North so we may end up dry but just a little cooler on Monday. The moist flow will continue as a low spins up in the Northeast Pacific and pushes a couple of systems into the Pacific NW. We should stay fairly dry as they stay to our North but we could see some light precip on Wednesday.
The ridge now looks like it won’t retrograde as far West the end of next week so the trough won’t dig as far down the West coast. We should see some colder air Thursday and Friday but right now it looks like no precip.
The models are starting to catch onto the trend of a ridge beginning to build in as we go into May. It looks like the last weekend of the month and the first week of May could be warm and dry, but that is opposite of what the models were showing. Teleconnections start to support the warm and dry conditions going into May. Stay tuned….BA
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