Cut-off low will move over CA tomorrow to our South. That is going to put us in the perfect spot just like the last storm to get heavy rain from Reno to Tahoe. The difference will be that this storm moves out on Monday and doesn’t stall for several days. There could be several inches of rain again Sunday and Monday and several inches of snow above 8,000 ft. This storm could push Reno over the all-time October rainfall record.

Starting tomorrow you will not see temps hit the 60′s for a while. After the cut-off moves out the temps will stay cool the rest of the week. Next weekend we see the jetstream crash into the Pacific NW thanks to the MJO, as the real storm door opens for the first time this season. It looks like the storms will impact Oregon the hardest but we should showers and colder temps with the snow levels coming down.

Going into the following week the storm door looks to stay open with a series of storms hitting the Pacific NW. As we go through the week the storms look to move further South towards Northern CA. The models have been consistent with this now for the past few days. We could see our first real snowfall around Halloween if this holds. Looking long-range it appears that cold air will move in from the North the first week of November. Long-range models can’t be trusted 100% but the weather patterns setting up the next couple of weeks are probably the best we could hope for with snowfall at month end and cold air for snowmaking behind it. Stay tuned…….BA

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