Things look much different around the Tahoe Basing than they did 5 days ago. The final numbers are in and they are are not as big as the January storm series but still big. The resorts are reporting an additional 3-10 inches yesterday before the snow tapered off.
4 day totals for resorts West of the lake are 45-65 inches or 4-5 feet on average. Resorts in the Basin and East of the lake picked up 38-49 inches or 3-4 feet on average. I’m leaving out Boreal because they are reporting 20 more inches than the resorts around them which doesn’t make sense.
I updated the Resort Totals page as of this morning. It has the season totals reported by the resort websites and the percent of average so far. As of today average across the resorts we are at 37% of the seasonal averages. We were only at 26% 5 days ago. Sugarbowl is now over 200 inches which is the first resort to do so in this lack luster season.
At lake level the amounts around the lake are pretty consistent with the first storm getting East lake a nice shot and then South Lake doing as well as North lake for once. The Reader Reports page is updated as of this morning with 4 day totals of 26-40 inches or 2-3 feet on average being reported around the lake. Not a bad week for the Tahoe Basin. Now we just need more of these storms in March.
I will post a recap on February precip and temps over the weekend. It will be a really nice weekend with highs in the 40′s today jumping into the 50′s on the lower half of the mountains and at lake level by Sunday and Monday.
Big cool down likely next Tuesday as a cold front moves through and bring some light snow with it. Right now the forecast models have a light snow event as the heaviest precip stays to our North. Early call of 1-3 inches with 3-6 along the crest. This system does have the potential to dig a little further South so we’ll have to watch it over the weekend.
The second half of next week looks quiet. The PNA is in its negative phase and the MJO is in phase 3 which both support troughing on the West Coast and a stormy pattern. All three snowy weeks this season have occured the exact time the PNA dipped negative which you can see up top of the page.
The forecast models show the ridge setting up out near 160w in the Pacific by the end of next week which is the perfect spot for a long-wave trough to setup off the West Coast. That would open the door to big storms. The forecast models are split though on how long the wave lengths will be with the Euro and Canadian keeping the trough just off the coast with the storms going to our North, while the GFS and Japanese models show it right down through CA with a series of storms starting the 10th.
Looking at the teleconnections I would lean towards the stormy scenario. We’ll have to keep watching over the weekend but hopefully we get a series of big storms starting around the 10th. Stay tuned…BA
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