Winter’s Last Gasps….
You are going to want to layer up today on the slopes. We have a weak system passing through today that will bring colder air and gusty winds. With temps in the 20′s on the upper half of the mountains and 30′s on the lower half the winds will make it feel like it’s in the teens and 20′s.
We will get some snow today as the cold front quickly pushes through. Not expecting much accumulation at lake level since the temperatures are already above freezing and highs will be around 40 today. On the mountains we could see a couple of inches accumulate especially up top. The Euro has the most moisture with a measly .25 inches of liquid on the high end. That means the maximum snowfall could be 3 or 4 inches along the crest above 7000 ft.
Temperatures stay cool tomorrow under sunny skies with highs in the 30′s on the mountains and 40′s at lake level. There will be a lot less wind so it will feel much warmer than today.
Over the weekend another weak storm will go by to our North on Saturday but there will be no affects for us other than maybe some clouds. This storm will not have any trailing cold front so the temperatures will continue to warm over the weekend into the 50′s at lake level and 40′s on the mountains.
Next week there is a ridge in the Gulf of Alaska and off of CA. There is another weak storm for Monday that will squeeze between the two ridges and is trending a little further South over Northern CA. We may see some light snow similar to today on the mountains but it will not be as cold.
Cold air will be pushing down into the Western half of the U.S. next week but not that far South. It will keep us from getting warm but it won’t be that cold either. Temps next week should stay in the 40′s & 50′s which is the average for this time of year.
Towards the end of next week into the weekend of the 23rd another low pressure will push into the Northeast Pacific and will bring a return of wet weather to the Pacific NW. It appears the upstream ridging is still going to be way too far West in the Pacific and so the trough will stay just off the CA coast. That would keep the storms far enough to our North the last week of the month that the only affect is keeping the temperatures at their norms.
Coming out of a La Nina winter I am expecting that if we don’t get a storm by the end of the month then our chances are very slim in May. I’m expecting May and the rest of the summer to be fairly dry which is OK since we have already picked up our yearly precipitation and the snowpack is around 170% of average for this date.
I would also expect warm temperatures in May and a fairly hot summer for Tahoe standards, but not the amount of fires we had in 08′ since we picked up about twice the amount of snow this year. After this winter I look forward to the possibility a warm summer and even a long summer. BA
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